Signed in as:
filler@godaddy.com
Signed in as:
filler@godaddy.com
BECAUSE STATE HOUSING POLICY
FAVORS LUXURY OVER AFFORDABILITY,
REPLACES PLANNING WITH PROFITS,
IGNORES HAZARDS AND THE ENVIRONMENT,
AND SETS UP CITIES TO FAIL
The state demands 2.5 million more residences by 2031, regardless of each city’s actual needs. Why? The California Department of Finance refuted the numbers in 2023 — projections show the population will not grow 7+ million by 2031; it‘s projected almost flat through 2060. That’s not due to lack of housing. It’s due to our aging population, declining birth rates, economic realities, higher outmigration, and lower inmigration.
In other words, the mandates are based on “aspirations,” not need.
But the state isn’t backing off the outrageous numbers, instead supporting “ad hoc” methodology that intentionally over burdens cities . See the blog post “Think those RHNA numbers are based on something scientific?” below.
Using Sonoma County as a case study, the film showcases community opposition to state-mandated housing policies, county supervisors' decisions, and a developer's plans to transform a beloved, historic, and environmentally sensitive wildlife corridor into a large-scale development with minimal affordable housing.
Blog post below
There is a new and dangerous assault on local control. Senator Wiener is now targeting Fire Hazard Severity Zone Maps as “impediments” to housing.
“to keep localities from weaponizing the fire hazard mapping as anti-housing/development tools.”
“LRA maps can functionally result in restrictions on growth in those areas through imposing costly building standards, increased disaster planning and mitigation requirements, or increasing home insurance premiums.”
Blog post below
The Center for Biological Diversity wrote a strong opposition letter to this sneaky legislation, and within days 90 organizations had signed on.
Full text of letter in blog post below.
County finally acknowledging the Superior Court ruling in favor of Corcoran vs County of Marin — which would restore community plans — but the changes made to plans still muddy the waters.
blog post below with my 7/30/24 letter to the Board of Supervisors
Emmy-nominated, award winning filmmaker Carolyn Scott’s new film in progress, "SMALL IS BEAUTIFUL," documents a small rural community’s fierce battle against an ill-conceived, massive development in a high-fire risk zone — and atop a crucial wildlife corridor. This project threatens safety, the environment, and biodiversity,
California's relentless urbanization takes center stage in this compelling documentary. Highly recommended,. Trailer here, more info coming soon:
This “spot” bill happened so fast there weren’t even any arguments submitted in support or opposition; please put your voice into the public record now!
We can all recognize the critical need for affordable housing. None of the current punitive policies that rely on the private market are going to create it, and cities are punished as a result. SB 7 is a continuation of these dangerous, destructive, and unsuccessful policies.
See blog post below for details
Big win for local zoning control. Five Charter Cities sued the state over SB9, a 2022 state law that allows homeowners to split lots, and add 2 homes to each side — without neighborhood notice or on site parking. It was ruled unconstitutional in Charter Cities (which have their own constitutions, as opposed to General Law cities). The court decision soundly questions housing policy that promotes a “housing emergency” with the cover of “affordability”— while the law has provisions to provide none; there is not a single word in the law about affordability or even a requirement to rent any of the resulting new homes.
See blog post below for details
San Diego Area cities are facing mid-cycle review soon, and bluntly tell the HCD that they resent being set up for failure. They can approve projects, but HCD only counts permits pulled — an action taken by developers. Because they can’t get most developers to add more than 10% affordable units, they will fail the low income category mandates even if massive numbers of new units are built.
See what every locality’s future is like:
start at minute 43 to skip over HCD presentation:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=arKeg7IFk7w&t=2617s
full video:
Marin County Community Plans have long zoned sensitive wildlife areas, the Bay Lands Corridor, the Ridge and Upland Green Belts, areas with no water or sewage, and no road access at lowest density -- allowing the fewest homes per acre possible.
The County is moving forward to codify changes that go beyond what is required. These areas will be open to density, just to “prove to the state that we‘re serious about housing.” These areas aren’t suitable for anything but market rate homes — if that.
This doesn’t improve access to affordable housing. See more in blog post below. ,
Not satisfied with last year’s SB 423 to override Coastal Commission decisions, this years’s laws intend to gut the commission and allow density along our treasured coastline — for profit, largely market rate, and close to the shore.
SB 951 is whipping through the senate, along with two others. The assembly will be next to push back or — cave.
So many major insurers non-renewed policies that the state insurance plan — FAIR — is on the brink of insolvency. Plans are not just being cancelled for fire risk, they’re being cancelled for age of home and density — in cities! The state is trying to lure insurers back with a plan that lets them use disaster modelling to base rates, which can set them sky high. It also allows easier rate increases. Unless you’re a mega corp, you can’t build or buy homes without insurance.
New legislation will make it possible for the state to start fining cities up to $10,000 per day, to $50,000 per month, starting at the time they are noticed that their housing elements are being revoked. There are plenty of other fines, withholding of funds, and lawsuits that already pressure cities — watch the SANDAG video to see how impossible it is to satisfy the HCD and avoid Attorney General Bonta’s Housing Strike Force.
ECONOMIST MICHAEL BARNES
SHARON RUSHTON SHREDS FALSE HOUSING CRISIS NARRATIVE
https://marinpost.org/blog/2023/5/19/power-players-problematic-playbook-for-housing
2.5 MILLION UNITS STATEWIDE DOES NOT REFLECT THESE REALITIES:
The statistics used to create the RHNA failed a state audit. California is not, and should not, be growing at 15%. The state knows that growth is predicted to be practically flat.
Since state redevelopment agencies closed in 2012, there has been a growing disparity in expensive to lower priced housing. Why? The free market prefers profitable development. The success of the tech market increased demand for high end housing; small houses were snatched up and flipped at high prices, often as larger remodels. Neighborhoods started changing.
Salaries for teachers and other essential workers did not increase, and they had to compete for scarcer housing — considered affordable if rent was 30% of their income.
Those at the lower end were left in desperate straits with the rising costs of living and were displaced by what used to be the middle class. Gentrification continues to displace those at the lower ends.
Even when cities try to assist low-income housing projects, money does not go far: costs are now $850,000 to $1 million per unit.
Instead of creating policy to help those in need, state policy and laws have come together under the lobbying influence of YIMBY to create a for-profit solution — a vehicle to allow dense, unfettered, high-end development.
This started in 2017, ramped up in 2019, and then the pace of legislation really took off during Covid. There over 100 laws now, and they all do the same thing: strip away the ability of localities to plan for growth and give all the power to the developers who have been salivating over suburban, semi-rural, and coastal land that has been kept at low, livable densities.
State overreach in law and policy has created dangerous precedents that undermine democracy without focus on providing affordable housing.
This has all been aided by the lobbying strength of YIMBY — Yes in My Backyard — a "nonprofit " megalith that has driven housing policy in California since its initial heavy funding by the tech industry.
There was no city-state discussion to adjust zoning and land use policy to encourage development where it could be safely and reasonably accommodated. Policy switched from a lackadaisical state response to a severe, overarching punishment-based system of compliance.
REAL POPULATION PROJECTIONS
https://marinpost.org/blog/2023/1/9/rhna-abag-demographic-projections-are-way-off
Marin cities risk ‘builder’s remedy’ over housing plan delays
marinij.com
Marin IJ Readers’ Forum for Jan. 28, 2023
marinij.com
PGE CAN’T COMMIT TO SERVICING THAT MANY NEW HOOKUPS:
Here's which Bay Area cities missed the housing element
sfexaminer.com
$5M available to build Marin County affordable housing northbaybusinessjournal.com
The state has a vision of California -- and Marin -- that was not shared with the voters. This site has a lot of information on how this happened, what to expect, and how to work together to put the brakes on it.
This is a free market solution in no way responsible to the communities that will be affected.
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